The Redskins 2010 Draft Was Better Than Mine
After the Redskins draft of 2010 I wrote a post highlighting some of the players I thought the Redskins should’ve taken instead of the guys they chose. I’m sure no one remembers this post and I could leave it buried in the history of other FP posts that are both sucky and forgettable. But, I’m here to stand before you and say that my draft sucked. I managed to draft the most underachieving and brittle convicts ever corralled. Here’s a look at my picks versus the Redskins.
Round 1:
The Redskins chose Trent Williams while I basically took the field while singling out Russell Okung. Williams played very well in his rookie season and appears to be a guy we can plug into the starting lineup for the next 8-10 years. Okung was bothered by a high ankle sprain all year. Redskins win.
Round 2:
The Redskins traded this pick in exchange for Donovan McNabb, this didn’t work out so well. However, I spent my pick on Sergio Kindle. I felt Kindle would make a nice complement at OLB to his former college teammate Brian Orakpo. Kindle broke his skull falling down a flight a stairs before he ever played a down. How does a professional athlete do this…like the rest of us would, he got drunk. Kindle later got a DWI and may never play a down for the Ravens. Redskins win.
Round 3:
The Redskins used this pick on Jeremy Jarmon in the supplemental draft in 2009. So far Jarmon has not produced on the field but there seems to still be some potential there. I picked Morgan Burnett who started at FS for the Super Bowl Champion Green Bay Packers from week 1. Unfortunately, Burnett tore his ACL in week 4 (he played half a game w/ the torn ACL) and was lost for the season. I’m calling this a draw.
Round 4:
The Redskins chose Perry Riley who failed to make his mark as a linebacker on defense and made several critical errors on special teams. I chose a projected round 1 pick and “workout warrior” Bruce Campbell. Campbell also failed to make his mark with the Raiders on offense and played sparingly on special teams…another draw.
Round 5:
The Redskins traded this pick to the Rams for DE Adam Carriker, who had 1.5 sacks in 15 starts. I chose CB Perrish Cox, who started 9 games at CB and played well for the Denver Broncos. Unfortunately, Cox is now facing life in prison for sexual assault! Redskins win.
Round 6:
The Redskins chose TE Dennis Morris who was traded during training camp for a guy we cut 1 day later. I chose Jonathan Dwyer a RB chosen by the Steelers. Dwyer appeared in only 1 game, but he’s still on the Steelers’ roster. I win.
Round 7:
The Redskins chose WR Terrance Austin who was a practice squad member for most of the year and caught 3 balls during the regular season. I selected DE George Selvie who was slated as a 1st round pick had he come out of college in 2009. Selvie appeared in all 16 games for the Rams registering 1.5 sacks. I win.
So there you have it. A less than stellar draft by both the Redskins and FP. The Redskins win this draft by default and Trent Williams is definitely the jewel of this draft.
Cheers and Hail
1st Round QB = Debacle 51% of the Time
But we are due…
Will the Redskins take a QB in the 1st round of the 2011 draft? That’s certainly the biggest question on everyone’s mind and I don’t know the answer. I do know that if they do choose a QB in the 1st round that they will become the first NFL franchise to pick 3 QB’s (Patrick Ramsey, Jason Campbell and ?) in the 1st round within a 10 year period in recent, if not in all-time history of the NFL draft. 3 chances at drafting your franchise QB within a one decade time frame.
Statistics show that it’s harder to get it right, than it is wrong when picking a QB in the 1st round. I took a look at the last 20 years of the NFL draft and have taken each 1st round pick and separated them into categories. Franchise, Above Average, Average and Busts. I also have any QB drafted in the last 2 seasons as TBD because I feel we haven’t had enough time to truly grade the players. I’ve found it really doesn’t matter if you’re drafting a guy top-10, top-20 or in the bottom half of the round, you’re more likely to miss than hit. Here’s your list:
Franchise QB’s - A player I would define as a guy who’s going to be in your lineup for 10-12 years, make the Pro Bowl several times, take you to a Super Bowl or 2 and win a MVP award.
Vick #1, Ryan #3, Rodgers #24, Manning #1, Manning #1, Bledsoe #1, Rivers #4, McNabb #2, Rothelsburger #11, McNair #3
That’s 10 QB’s out of the 41 (not counting TBD’s) drafted. You have a 24% chance of drafting a franchise QB in the 1st round.
Above Average QB’s - A player I would define as a guy who is going to make a Pro Bowl or 2, he’s going to have a least a 5 year run where he’s in the upper echelon of QB’s and lead your team to a playoff or 2.
Flacco #18, Cutler #11, Palmer #1, Culpepper #11, #18 Pennington
5 QB’s out of 41. 12% chance of drafting an above average QB. Combining that with the 10 franchise QB’s and you have 15 out of 41. You have a 37% chance of getting this pick right with an above average QB, which means you have a 63% chance of blowing this pick.
Average QB’s - is there a definition needed?
#25 Campbell, #5 Collins, #7 Leftwich, #6 Dilfer, #3 Young
5 out of 41 again. 12% chance of drafting an average QB.
Busts - total debacles. And you have the greatest chance of drafting one.
#3 Shuler, #10 Linehart, #32 Ramsey, #19 Boller, #22 Losman, #22 Grossman, #12 McNown, #3 Smith, #6 Klingler, #22 Quinn, #25 Maddox, #3 Harrington, #1 Carr, #1 Russell, #24 Marinovich, #1 Leaf, #1 Smith, #27 Drunkenmiller, #2 Mirer, #16 Mcgwire, #1 Couch
21 out of 41. Greater than 50% chance you pick a total bust at the QB position in the draft.
A couple of things worth noting:
Dallas, Kansas City, Miami and New Orleans have not picked a QB in the 1st round in the last 20 years!
The 5 QB’s that are TBD are #25 Tebow, #5 Sanchez, #1 Bradford, #17 Freeman and #1 Stafford.
Please notice the Redskins currently have a Franchise QB (McNabb) on the roster, whom they benched for a bust (Grossman)…of course they did.
And finally, If the Redskins are taking their 4th QB in the 1st round over the last 20 years and the previous 3 have been busts or just average, then maybe they’re due to pick a franchise QB. Which would mean all the stuff means nothing. I’ll take wasting 3 hrs of my life for a franchise QB any day.
Cheers and Hail
2 Big Reasons To Cheer For The Redskins
The Super Bowl commercials sucked, except this one. Thank you to the NFL and whomever decided to superimpose a Redskins shirt on Sofia Vergara.
